The Inventor of the 4% Withdrawal Rule has Updated His Recommendation. It is Significantly Less than Guaranteed Lifetime Income Benefits.

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Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Bill Bengan published a study in the Journal of Financial Planning in 1994 that introduced the 4% withdrawal rule. His study recommended initially withdrawing 4% from your portfolio to ensure you will not run out of money in retirement. The financial industry ran with this recommendation ever since. JP Morgan projects the following on a typical portfolio: Withdrawal Rate Likelihood of not running out of Money 3% 95 - 100% 4% 85 - 90% 5% 65 - 70% 6% 40 - 45% If you increase your withdrawal rate, your likelihood of success decreases significantly. Current Guaranteed Lifetime Income withdrawal rates: - Age 65: 7.5% guaranteed for life - Age 75: 8.5% guaranteed for life - Rates increase if you are older You can increase your income significantly with 100% likelihood of success. You cannot outlive your income.

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